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    IHS: Escalating costs driving diminishing returns for oil and gas companies despite stronger oil prices

    IHS

    Despite stronger oil prices, corporate returns on average capital employed (ROACE) are lower than in 2001, when oil prices were less than $30 per barrel, according to research from information and insight provider IHS (NYSE: IHS).

    “Our IHS study, which assessed energy company performance and capital returns, included more than 80 oil and gas companies,” said Nicholas D. Cacchione, director at IHS Energy and a lead researcher on cost and energy company performance. “Collectively, these companies averaged an 11% ROACE in 2012 and 8.6% in 2013, both of which are weaker than the ROACE achieved in 2001 when the WTI (West Texas intermediate) crude oil price hovered at just under $27 per barrel. The WTI crude oil price averaged $94 per barrel in 2012 and $98 per barrel in 2013.”

    Said Cacchione, “My guess is that shareholders are asking ‘What gives?’ The culprit is cost escalation. While returns have increased in recent years, costs have accelerated at a rate that has squeezed margins. The more than $60-per-barrel increase in global oil prices since 2002 has been offset by significantly higher costs, and to a lesser degree, weaker U.S. natural gas prices. Margins have basically been frozen.”

    Looking at the upstream sector, which comprises the majority of business of the study universe; lifting costs have more than quadrupled since 2000 to greater than $21 per barrel. Finding and developing costs have followed a similar trajectory, reaching nearly $22 per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE) in 2013. Government fiscal take (based on financial disclosure), which excludes the impact of royalty volumes in the upstream sector, increased from 49% of pretax profits in 2000, to 60% in 2013.

    “The integrated oil companies earned a 15 percent ROACE since 2000, which is substantially higher than the 11% posted by pure E&P (exploration and production) companies,” said Lysle R. Brinker, director of company research at IHS Energy. “The outperformance by the integrated oil companies can largely be attributed to their geographically and functionally diversified portfolios, which benefit from capital spending programs that are generally more disciplined. They are also aided by the lower-cost basis of the legacy assets that often comprise a large portion of their operations.”

    “As a result of this ongoing cost pressure,” Brinker said, “companies are increasingly laser-focused on cost containment and exercising greater discipline around the return on their capital investments. There is greater scrutiny on capital spending at all levels, which will become even more pronounced as the year progresses. Every investment has to pass muster on several fronts before it will be funded, since there is significant internal competition for that capital.”

     

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